Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 11.120546 12.689141 14.404894 16.421768 18.728977 21.287441 24.341930
2026-02-08 8.778259 10.786233 13.152457 16.149870 19.851090 24.278883 29.989284
2026-02-15 7.379356 9.556317 12.261073 15.874902 20.587897 26.541293 34.657898
2026-02-22 6.748596 9.128259 12.217515 16.532219 22.421531 30.206753 41.326696
2026-03-01 6.124632 8.602292 11.943399 16.793045 23.680115 33.152163 47.243276
2026-03-08 5.516752 8.012886 11.494923 16.726000 24.422884 35.391234 52.315693
2026-03-15 4.991215 7.474423 11.047037 16.585381 25.002845 37.394287 57.166555
2026-03-22 4.730461 7.289793 11.080156 17.132084 26.615108 41.009453 64.716575
2026-03-29 4.478994 7.089320 11.061237 17.580626 28.092356 44.513328 72.375114
2026-04-05 4.291668 6.966855 11.143083 18.179688 29.837462 48.552970 81.220471
2026-04-12 3.910785 6.498402 10.634540 17.774297 29.903683 49.875189 85.663367
2026-04-19 3.594637 6.107349 10.215296 17.472131 30.099809 51.401144 90.545904
2026-04-26 3.308354 5.746280 9.822104 17.189428 30.319069 53.007469 95.761736
2026-05-03 3.050304 5.411843 9.446001 16.901430 30.498095 54.547700 100.983195
2026-05-10 2.818931 5.104218 9.089657 16.613453 30.642323 56.019155 106.179236
2026-05-17 2.759661 5.099864 9.266504 17.302133 32.622678 60.967952 118.333255
2026-05-24 2.643143 4.980070 9.223589 17.575415 33.839961 64.585398 128.225307
2026-05-31 2.489004 4.776990 9.010322 17.505168 34.386587 66.960437 135.854171
2026-06-07 2.337922 4.567644 8.768580 17.357834 34.764468 69.026464 143.020824
2026-06-14 2.286703 4.548444 8.888215 17.930652 36.621739 74.159013 156.959453
2026-06-21 2.225654 4.504583 8.955351 18.400636 38.302842 79.060595 170.833092
2026-06-28 2.184809 4.498051 9.095073 19.028356 40.358395 84.889331 187.214175
2026-07-05 2.036065 4.258160 8.745275 18.603569 40.144860 85.922785 193.104170